", Daveen Rae Kurutz is a staff writer for the Beaver County Times and part of USA Today's Pennsylvania network. [4] If the demand surpasses the capacity line in the infections per day curve, then the existing health facilities cannot fully handle the patients, resulting in higher death rates than if preparations had been made. Stay home for 15 days, he told Americans. In the future, she added, social-distancing recommendations might be less aggressive than they are now but they're unlikely to go away for at least a year. Nation Prepares To Celebrate 1st Anniversary Of Two Weeks To Flatten Meanwhile, officials in St. Louis, Mo., had a vastly different public health response. We need to stick with current strategies. There's just not enough room in the car to take care of everybody, to accommodate everybody. I feel like I'm almost scared to look forward because I feel like it keeps getting pulled out from under us.". 4. AT THE END OF THE 15 DAY PERIOD, WE WILL MAKE A DECISION AS TO WHICH WAY WE WANT TO GO! On Sunday morning, Anthony Fauci said models show 100,000 to 200,000 Americans could die from the virus, even with social distancing measures. It's getting close guys! Here's what one looks like: The curve takes on different shapes, depending on the virus's infection rate. Surgeon general: 15 days 'not enough time' to slow coronavirus Federal guidelines advise that states wait until they experience a downward trajectory of documented cases within a 14-day period before proceeding to a phased opening. They called it a "novel coronavirus" for a reason, UPMC's Rice said. At that point, there were more than 3,000 confirmed cases of the virus, and more than 60 deaths. Flattening the curvewas a public healthstrategy to slow down the spread of the SARS-CoV-2virus during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic.